You are given:
- The number of claims has a Poisson distribution.
- Claim sizes have a Pareto distribution with parameters [math]\theta = 0.5 [/math] and [math]\alpha = 6[/math]
- The number of claims and claim sizes are independent.
- The observed average total payment should be within 2% of the expected average total payment 90% of the time.
Calculate the expected number of claims needed for full credibility.
- Less than 7,000
- At least 7,000, but less than 10,000
- At least 10,000, but less than 13,000
- At least 13,000, but less than 16,000
- At least 16,000
You are given the following information about a commercial auto liability book of business:
- Each insured’s claim count has a Poisson distribution with mean [math]\lambda [/math] , where [math]\lambda [/math] has a gamma distribution with [math]\alpha = 1.5[/math] and [math]\theta = 0.2 [/math].
- Individual claim size amounts are independent and exponentially distributed with mean 5000.
- The full credibility standard is for aggregate losses to be within 5% of the expected with probability 0.90.
Calculate the expected number of claims required for full credibility using limited fluctuated credibility.
- 2165
- 2381
- 3514
- 7216
- 7938
You are given the following information about a general liability book of business comprised of 2500 insureds:
- [math]X_i = \sum_{j=1}^{N_i}Y_{ij} [/math] is a random variable representing the annual loss of the ith insured.
- [math]N_1,N_2,\ldots,N_{2500}[/math] are independent and identically distributed random variables following a negative binomial distribution with parameters [math]r = 2[/math] and [math]\beta = 0.2[/math].
- [math]Y_{i1},Y_{i2},\ldots,Y_{iN}[/math] are independent and identically distributed random variables following a Pareto distribution with [math]\alpha = 3[/math] and [math]\theta = 1000 [/math].
- The full credibility standard is to be within 5% of the expected aggregate losses 90% of the time.
Calculate the partial credibility of the annual loss experience for this book of business using limited fluctuation credibility theory.
- 0.34
- 0.42
- 0.47
- 0.50
- 0.53
You are given:
- The number of claims has probability function:
- The actual number of claims must be within 1% of the expected number of claims with probability 0.95.
- The expected number of claims for full credibility is 34,574.
Calculate q.
- 0.05
- 0.10
- 0.20
- 0.40
- 0.80
A company has determined that the limited fluctuation full credibility standard is 2000 claims if:
- The total number of claims is to be within 3% of the true value with probability p.
- The number of claims follows a Poisson distribution.
The standard is changed so that the total cost of claims is to be within 5% of the true value with probability p, where claim severity has probability density function:
Calculate the expected number of claims necessary to obtain full credibility under the new standard using limited fluctuation credibility.
- 720
- 960
- 2160
- 2667
- 2880
You are given:
- The number of claims follows a Poisson distribution.
- The number of claims and claim severity are independent.
- The severity distribution is:
Claim Size | Probability |
5 | 0.60 |
40 | 0.35 |
60 | 0.05 |
Calculate the expected number of claims needed so the total cost of claims is within 5% of the expected with probability 0.90.
- 511
- 726
- 1083
- 2044
- 3126