exercise:1b3c492c34

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Let [math]X_1, \ldots, X_n[/math] be [math]n[/math] independent and random variables such that [math]\E[X_i]=\mu[/math] and [math]\var(X_i)\le \sigma^2[/math]. Fix [math]\delta \in (0,1)[/math] and assume without loss of generality that [math]n[/math] can be factored into [math]n=K\cdot G[/math] where [math]G=8\log(1/\delta)[/math] is a positive integers. For [math]g=1,\ldots, G[/math], let [math]\bar X_g[/math] denote the average over the [math]g[/math]th group of [math]k[/math] variables. Formally

[[math]] \bar X_g=\frac{1}{k}\sum_{i=(g-1)k+1}^{gk}X_i\,. [[/math]]

1. Show that for any [math]g= 1, \ldots, G[/math],
   [[math]] \p\big[\bar X_g - \mu \gt \frac{2\sigma}{\sqrt{k}}\big] \le \frac{1}{4}\,. [[/math]]
2. Let [math]\hat \mu[/math] be defined as the median of [math]\{\bar X_1, \ldots, \bar X_G\}[/math]. Show that
   [[math]] \p\big[\hat \mu -\mu \gt \frac{2\sigma}{\sqrt{k}}\big] \le \p\big[\cB \ge \frac{G}{2}\big]\,, [[/math]]
   where [math]\cB\sim \Bin(G, 1/4)[/math].
3. Conclude that
   [[math]] \p\big[\hat \mu -\mu \gt 4\sigma\sqrt{\frac{2\log (1/\delta)}{n}}\big] \le \delta [[/math]]
4. Compare this result with Corollary and Lemma. Can you conclude that [math]\hat \mu -\mu \sim \sg(\bar\sigma^2/n)[/math] for some [math]\bar\sigma^2[/math]? Conclude.