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In a poker hand, John has a very strong hand and bets 5 dollars.  The probability that Mary has a better hand is .04.  If Mary had a better hand she would raise with probability .9, but with a poorer hand she would only raise with probability .1.  If Mary raises, what is the probability that she has a better hand than John does?
In a poker hand, John has a very strong hand and bets 5 dollars.  The probability that Mary has a better hand is .04.  If Mary had a better hand she would raise with probability .9, but with a poorer hand she would only raise with probability .1.  If Mary raises, what is the probability that she has a better hand than John does?
{{cite web |url=https://math.dartmouth.edu/~prob/prob/prob.pdf |title=Grinstead and Snell’s Introduction to Probability |last=Doyle |first=Peter G.|date=2006 |access-date=June 6, 2024}}

Revision as of 20:49, 21 June 2024

In a poker hand, John has a very strong hand and bets 5 dollars. The probability that Mary has a better hand is .04. If Mary had a better hand she would raise with probability .9, but with a poorer hand she would only raise with probability .1. If Mary raises, what is the probability that she has a better hand than John does?

Doyle, Peter G. (2006). "Grinstead and Snell's Introduction to Probability" (PDF). Retrieved June 6, 2024.