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(from Sholander<ref group="Notes" >M. Sholander, Problem \#1034, ''Mathematics Magazine,'' vol. 52,
(from Sholander<ref group="Notes" >M. Sholander, Problem \#1034, ''Mathematics Magazine,'' vol. 52,
no.\ 3 (May 1979), p. 183.</ref>) In a standard
no. 3 (May 1979), p. 183.</ref>) In a standard
clover-leaf interchange, there are four ramps for making right-hand turns, and inside these
clover-leaf interchange, there are four ramps for making right-hand turns, and inside these
four ramps, there are four more ramps for making left-hand turns.  Your car approaches the
four ramps, there are four more ramps for making left-hand turns.  Your car approaches the

Revision as of 21:15, 12 June 2024

(from Sholander[Notes 1]) In a standard clover-leaf interchange, there are four ramps for making right-hand turns, and inside these four ramps, there are four more ramps for making left-hand turns. Your car approaches the interchange from the south. A mechanism has been installed so that at each point where there exists a choice of directions, the car turns to the right with fixed probability [math]r[/math].

  • If [math]r = 1/2[/math], what is your chance of emerging from the interchange going west?
  • Find the value of [math]r[/math] that maximizes your chance of a westward departure from the interchange.

Notes

  1. M. Sholander, Problem \#1034, Mathematics Magazine, vol. 52, no. 3 (May 1979), p. 183.