Exercise
An insurer uses classification ratemaking to set rates and uses a single rating variable to classify policies with three different levels: level I, level II and level III. The base level is level I. The pure premium for each level is assumed to be gamma distributed with unknown parameters [math]\theta [/math] and [math]\alpha [/math] that change across levels:
Level | [math]\alpha [/math] | [math]\theta [/math] | Exposure weight | Current rate differential |
---|---|---|---|---|
I | [math]\alpha_0[/math] | [math]\theta_0[/math] | 40% | 1 |
II | [math]2\alpha_0 [/math] | [math]\frac{2\theta_0}{3} [/math] | 35% | 1.25 |
III | [math]3\alpha_0 [/math] | [math]\frac{\theta_0}{2} [/math] | 25% | 1.6 |
If the insurer wants an overall rate increase of 10% and there are no fixed or variable expenses, determine, using the pure premium method, the rate change % for level III policies.
- +2.16%
- +2.78%
- +3.25%
- +3.78%
- +4.11%
The indicated rate differentials, based on the values of [math]\alpha [/math] and [math]\theta [/math] for each level, are given below:
Level [math]i[/math] | [math]R_{i,I} [/math] |
---|---|
I | 1 |
II | 4/3 |
III | 3/2 |
Given a targeted overall change factor of 1.1, the indicated change factor for the base rate equals
The change factor for level [math]i [/math] equals the change factor for the base level multiplied by the change factor of the indicated differential for level [math]i[/math]:
Level | Change Factor | Rate Change |
---|---|---|
I | 1.0963 | +9.63% |
II | 1.1694 | +16.94% |
III | 1.0278 | + 2.78% |