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May 05'23

Exercise

A device runs until either of two components fails, at which point the device stops running. The joint density function of the lifetimes of the two components, both measured in hours, is

[[math]] f(x,y) = \frac{x+y}{2}, \textrm{for} \,\, 0 \lt x \lt2 \,\, \textrm{and} \,\, 0 \lt y \lt 2. [[/math]]

Calculate the probability that the device fails during its first hour of operation.

  • 0.125
  • 0.141
  • 0.391
  • 0.625
  • 0.875

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

May 05'23

Solution: D

[[math]] \textrm{Prob.} = 1 - \int_1^2\int_1^2 \frac{1}{8}(x+y) dx dy = 0.625. [[/math]]

Note

[[math]] \begin{align*} \operatorname{P}[(X \leq 1) \cup ( Y \leq 1 ) ] &= \operatorname{P} \left \{ [(X\gt1) \cap (Y \gt 1) ]^c \right \} \,\, \textrm{(De Morgan's Law)} \\ &= 1-\operatorname{P}[(X\gt1) \cap (Y \cap 1)] \\ &= 1 - \int_1^2\int_1^2 \frac{1}{8} (x+y) dx \, dy \\ &= 1-\frac{1}{8}\int_1^2 \frac{1}{2}(x+y)^2 \Big |_1^2 dy \\ &= 1 - \frac{1}{16}\int_1^2 [(y+2)^2 - (y+1)^2] dy \\ &= 1 - \frac{1}{48} [ (y+2)^2 - (y+1)^3 ] \Big |_1^2 \\ &= 1- \frac{1}{48}(64-27-27 + 8) \\ &= 1- \frac{18}{48} = \frac{30}{48} \\ &= 0.625. \end{align*} [[/math]]

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

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