May 13'23

Exercise

The distribution of a loss, [math]X[/math], is a two-point mixture:

  1. With probability 0.8, [math]X[/math] has a Pareto distribution with [math]\alpha = 2[/math] and [math]\theta = 100[/math].
  2. With probability 0.2, [math]X[/math] has a Pareto distribution with with [math]\alpha = 4[/math] and [math]\theta = 3000 [/math].

Calculate [math]\operatorname{P}( X \leq 200).[/math]

  • 0.76
  • 0.79
  • 0.82
  • 0.85
  • 0.88

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

May 13'23

Key: A

[[math]] F (200) = 0.8 \left [ 1-\left( \frac{100}{200 +100}\right)^2\right] + 0.2 \left [ 1 - \left( \frac{3000}{3000 +200}\right)^4\right ] = 0.7566 [[/math]]

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

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