ABy Admin
Jul 25'24

Exercise

An insurer uses classification ratemaking to set rates and uses a single rating variable to classify policies with three different levels: level I, level II and level III. The base level is level I. The pure premium for each level is assumed to be gamma distributed with unknown parameters [math]\theta [/math] and [math]\alpha [/math] that change across levels:

Level [math]\alpha [/math] [math]\theta [/math] Exposure weight Current rate differential
I [math]\alpha_0[/math] [math]\theta_0[/math] 40% 1
II [math]2\alpha_0 [/math] [math]\frac{2\theta_0}{3} [/math] 35% 1.25
III [math]3\alpha_0 [/math] [math]\frac{\theta_0}{2} [/math] 25% 1.6

If the insurer wants an overall rate increase of 10% and there are no fixed or variable expenses, determine, using the pure premium method, the rate change % for level III policies.

  • +2.16%
  • +2.78%
  • +3.25%
  • +3.78%
  • +4.11%
ABy Admin
Jul 25'24

The indicated rate differentials, based on the values of [math]\alpha [/math] and [math]\theta [/math] for each level, are given below:

Level [math]i[/math] [math]R_{i,I} [/math]
I 1
II 4/3
III 3/2

Given a targeted overall change factor of 1.1, the indicated change factor for the base rate equals

[[math]] 1.1 \cdot \frac{\sum_i w_i R_{C,i}}{\sum_i w_i R_{I,i}} = \frac{1.36125}{1.2417} = 1.0963. [[/math]]

The change factor for level [math]i [/math] equals the change factor for the base level multiplied by the change factor of the indicated differential for level [math]i[/math]:

Level Change Factor Rate Change
I 1.0963 +9.63%
II 1.1694 +16.94%
III 1.0278 + 2.78%
00