May 04'23
Exercise
A company insures homes in three cities, J, K, and L. Since sufficient distance separates the cities, it is reasonable to assume that the losses occurring in these cities are mutually independent. The moment generating functions for the loss distributions of the cities are:
[[math]]
M_J(t) = (1-2t)^{-3}, \, M_K(t) = (1-2t)^{-2.5}, \, M_L(t) = (1-2t)^{-4.5}.
[[/math]]
Let [math]X[/math] represent the combined losses from the three cities. Calculate [math]\operatorname{E}[X^3][/math] .
- 1,320
- 2,082
- 5,760
- 8,000
- 10,560
May 04'23
Solution: E
Let [math]X_J, X_K,[/math] and [math]X_L[/math] represent annual losses for cities J, K, and L, respectively. Then [math]X = X_J + X_K + X_L[/math] and due to independence
[[math]]
M(t) = M_J(t)M_K(t) M_L(t) = (1-2t)^{-3} (1-2t)^{-2.5} (1-2t)^{-4.5} = (1-2t)^{-10}.
[[/math]]
Therefore,
[[math]]
M'(t) = 20(1-2t)^{-11}, \, M^{''}(t) = 440(1-2t)^{-12}, \, M^{'''}(t) = 10560(1-2t)^{-13}, \, \operatorname{E}[X^3] = M^{'''}(0) = 10560.
[[/math]]