BBy Bot
Jun 09'24

Exercise

Assume that, every time you buy a box of Wheaties, you receive a picture of one of the [math]n[/math] players for the New York Yankees (see Exercise). Let [math]X_k[/math] be the number of additional boxes you have to buy, after you have obtained [math]k - 1[/math] different pictures, in order to obtain the next new picture. Thus [math]X_1 = 1[/math], [math]X_2[/math] is the number of boxes bought after this to obtain a picture different from the first pictured obtained, and so forth.

  • Show that [math]X_k[/math] has a geometric distribution with [math]p = (n - k + 1)/n[/math].
  • Simulate the experiment for a team with 26 players (25 would be more accurate but we want an even number). Carry out a number of simulations and estimate the expected time required to get the first 13 players and the expected time to get the second 13. How do these expectations compare?
  • Show that, if there are [math]2n[/math] players, the expected time to get the first half of the players is
    [[math]] 2n \left( \frac 1{2n} + \frac 1{2n - 1} +\cdots+ \frac 1{n + 1} \right)\ , [[/math]]
    and the expected time to get the second half is
    [[math]] 2n \left( \frac 1n + \frac 1{n - 1} +\cdots+ 1 \right)\ . [[/math]]
  • In Example we stated that
    [[math]] 1 + \frac 12 + \frac 13 +\cdots+ \frac 1n \sim \log n + .5772 + \frac 1{2n}\ . [[/math]]
    Use this to estimate the expression in (c). Compare these estimates with the exact values and also with your estimates obtained by simulation for the case [math]n = 26[/math].