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Exercise
May 04'23
Answer
Solution: E
Let [math]X_J, X_K,[/math] and [math]X_L[/math] represent annual losses for cities J, K, and L, respectively. Then [math]X = X_J + X_K + X_L[/math] and due to independence
[[math]]
M(t) = M_J(t)M_K(t) M_L(t) = (1-2t)^{-3} (1-2t)^{-2.5} (1-2t)^{-4.5} = (1-2t)^{-10}.
[[/math]]
Therefore,
[[math]]
M'(t) = 20(1-2t)^{-11}, \, M^{''}(t) = 440(1-2t)^{-12}, \, M^{'''}(t) = 10560(1-2t)^{-13}, \, \operatorname{E}[X^3] = M^{'''}(0) = 10560.
[[/math]]