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Exercise


May 09'23

Answer

Solution: C

Let [math]T[/math] be the time of registration. Due to symmetry of the density function about 6.5. The constant of proportionality, c, can be solved from

[[math]] 0.5 = \int_0^{0.5}c \frac{1}{t+1} dt = c \ln(t+1) \Big |_0^{6.5} = c\ln(7.5), [[/math]]

which gives [math]c = 0.5/\ln(7.5) [/math]. Again using the symmetry, if 60th percentile of [math]T[/math] is at [math]k[/math], then [math]\operatorname{P}[T ≤ 13 − k ] = 0.4.[/math] Thus,

[[math]] \begin{align*} 0.4 &= \operatorname{P}[T \leq 13-k] = \int_0^{13-k} \frac{0.5}{\ln(7.5)} \frac{1}{t+1} dt = \frac{0.5}{\ln(7.5)} \ln(14-k) \\ \ln(14-k) &= 0.8\ln(7.5) = 1.6119 \\ 14-k &= e^{1.6119} = 5.0124 \\ k &= 8.99 \end{align*} [[/math]]

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

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