Revision as of 02:17, 9 June 2024 by Bot (Created page with "<div class="d-none"><math> \newcommand{\NA}{{\rm NA}} \newcommand{\mat}[1]{{\bf#1}} \newcommand{\exref}[1]{\ref{##1}} \newcommand{\secstoprocess}{\all} \newcommand{\NA}{{\rm NA}} \newcommand{\mathds}{\mathbb}</math></div> The Polya urn model for contagion is as follows: We start with an urn which contains one white ball and one black ball. At each second we choose a ball at random from the urn and replace this ball and add one more of the color chosen. Write a pr...")
BBy Bot
Jun 09'24
Exercise
[math]
\newcommand{\NA}{{\rm NA}}
\newcommand{\mat}[1]{{\bf#1}}
\newcommand{\exref}[1]{\ref{##1}}
\newcommand{\secstoprocess}{\all}
\newcommand{\NA}{{\rm NA}}
\newcommand{\mathds}{\mathbb}[/math]
The Polya urn model for contagion is as follows: We
start with an urn which contains one white ball and one black ball. At each second we choose a ball at random from the urn and replace this ball and add one more of the color chosen. Write a program to simulate this model, and see if you can make any predictions about the proportion of white balls in the urn after a large number of draws. Is there a tendency to have a large fraction of balls of the same color in the long run?